Are you saying that 18% of people will buy an iPad vs 20% buying a computer? Almost as many iPads as computers! many of which will be Macs!!
Are you saying that 13% will want an iPhone, vs 19% any other phone, when the iPhone is only available in one single carrier in US?
Are we comparing the iPad to the total consumer computer industry (which includes a healthy portion for Apple)?
Are we comparing a single phone model in one carrier to the rest of smartphones across all carriers?
How far are we from complete domination by Apple?
How far are we from an Apple world, just like 1984, guided under our beloved master Steve Jobs?
I would not be surprised that in a few years kids start asking why we named a fruit after the name of the maker of the iPad.
We have lived enough IT history to know that reality has exceeded Moore’s Law prediction of computers doubling capacity every 18 months. In fact, the period is now close to 12 months.
Following this exponential growth these are the specs for a $1500 Laptop in 2018, and some accessories:
Microprocessor number of Cores: 256 Cores 1.9 Teraflops
RAM: 500 Gigabytes
Solid-State HD: 32 Terabytes
Flash memory cards (SD-HC, Compact): 16 Terabytes
Wifi: 1 Gbps
Broadband: 8 Gbps
External NAS: 1 Petabyte
iPod 5G: 8TB at $199, 16TB (3.5 million songs) at $299
With the advances in nanotechnology applied to solar photovoltaics cells and more efficient batteries, laptops will be solar powered, and will not need to connect to the power grid with a normal use. The OS user interface will be based in Motion-Sensing Gesture and Speech Recognition.
IBM Supercomputer Roadrunner was recently news for breaking the one Petaflop proccessing power mark. At the current pace, probably with a microprocessor based in nanostructures and fotonic technology, a laptop in 2028 will have the same processing power.
The question is, what use will we give to such powerful machines?
Note: Projection for number of cores assumes 18 months to double capacity, since multiple core technology is relatively new. Flash memory, broadband bandwith and iPod projections follow the pace of 12 month experienced in recent years.
Welcome to tech-talk.biz, a new blog where I will be giving my vision on how Technology is transforming our World and making our lifes better.
Being this the first post in our new blog, I am starting with Mr. Steve Jobs glorious Commencement address. This is one of the most inspirational speeches I have ever heard, and it is worth listening to it again.