It seems that finally Video did not actually kill the Radio star, but both co-existed as friends, and keep evolving in the Internet era.
That is not the same case for the Music industry. CD’s killed the vinyls and now CD’s are slowly but surely being exterminated by mp3, without mercy.
DVD death will come next, but likely a bit later, wiped out by Divx-MP4-WMV downloads, be it illegal P2P or legal IPTV, Internet TV or Internet VoD like Amazon Unbox, or iTunes.
But what about e-books? will they kill the Hardcover and Paperback brothers?
I would bet not. I think Books in its traditional format has still a very long way to go.
– First the user interface has not yet been improved by the electronic e-book readers. Most people still find more friendly the paper and the ink
– Novels are read linearly, so no advantage for the digital form, except for reference Books or Encyclopedia, which anyway tend to be on-line for real-time updates. (Wikipedia has definitively killed the Encyclopedia stars)
– It is true that one of the advantages of electronics e-book readers is that you can carry hundreds of books in a pocket. But who is interesting in carrying with you more than the 1-2 books you are reading at the moment?
And it already run out of stock only in a few days.
Kindle is a nice toy, although far from perfect, but I still believe Amazon has got it right.
Amazon strategic move, aims at creating a real market for e-books where they keep a central position, with a proprietary DRM (a la iPod/iTunes). To create this market, they introduce a device that was missing to provide a complete solution for those wanting to go for e-books. Similar to what Apple did with iPod for the music industry.
But will e-books ever kill the traditional book? If it ever happens, I believe my grand-children will be the ones to see that… and my son only is 7 months now…